International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research
Predicting Dengue Clinical Severity in Eastern Sudan's 2023 Outbreak: A Comparative Analysis of Statistical and Machine Learning Models Using Routine Surveillance Data
Objectives: This study characterized clinical severity patterns during the 2023 dengue outbreak in Al Qadarif State, Eastern Sudan; identified associated factors; compared statistical and machine-learning models; and explored patterns of clinical manifestations using routine surveillance data. Methods: This retrospective observational study included 2,552 dengue case records. The primary outcome was a pragmatic, study-specific composite clinical severity indicator, defined as the documented presence of bleeding, se …