Structural fragility of installed capacity in an urban health-service network in Colombia through a multidimensional ecological study

Vollständiger Abstract

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Objective: To characterize the structural fragility of installed health-service capacity in Barranquilla, Atlántico, Colombia, using absolute capacity, supply concentration, reserve or transitory capacity, and service-line clinical sensitivity as structural-risk dimensions. Methods: An ecological health-services study was conducted using a local installed-capacity dataset traceable to the Colombian Special Registry of Health Service Providers and SISPRO, together with two contextual World Bank series for Colombia: physicians per 1,000 population and premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases. Traceable data cleaning, functional normalization, separation of baseline versus transitory capacity when allowed by the source fields, and exploratory estimation of a relative structural fragility proxy index using a normalized Poisson-type transformation were performed. This index was interpreted exclusively as a comparative structural-fragility ranking and not as an observed probability of saturation.